成功投资者的4个习惯(转载)

作者: 阮一峰

日期: 2004年2月 8日

下面是MSN Money上的一篇文章,写得很好,保存下来。文章中的英语也很规范,适合精读。

=======================================

4 habits of successful investors

成功投资者的四个习惯

作者:Emory Thomas Jr

【导语】

Top traders don't rely on exotic rituals, just the simple routines that ensure they always know how they stand and where they're going.

投资大师的秘诀,其实只是一些很简单的习惯性做法。

【作者介绍】

Emory Thomas Jr. is a veteran business writer and editor who has worked for MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal and other media outlets. He was formerly vice president-product management for Business.com, a leading business information site. In 1992 and 1993, he won Gerald Loeb awards for his investigative reporting. He now lives in Seattle.

【正文】

Search Barlett's Quotations for the word "habit," and more than 300 passages pop up. "Nothing is stronger than a habit," intones the Roman poet Ovid. And according to Aristotle, "Good habits formed at youth make all the difference."

古罗马诗人奥维德说:"习惯是最强大的力量"。

亚里士多德说:"年轻时形成的习惯决定了一切"。

For investors, do good habits formed early make all the difference?

正确的习惯,可以帮助你取得投资成功。

In a word, yes. Nothing is more important in investing than solid, well-thought-out planning. But all the planning in the world fails without the right follow-through -- the right habits to serve and feed those plans.

有一个可靠的、深思熟虑的投资计划,是投资中最重要的事情。其次重要的事情,就是你必须养成好习惯,去执行这个计划。

In search of the daily, monthly and yearly routines that are feeding the returns of top investors, we found four of the most helpful and potentially profitable.

根据众多投资大师的经历,我们找到了四个最有益、最有助于获利的投资习惯。

Keep a diary

写作交易日记

Bert Dohmen, founder of Dohmen Capital, has a single requirement of new hires to his Los Angeles investment firm: "Get yourself a spiral notebook for a dollar," he tells them. "Keep a daily trading diary. Write down what happened in the market each day and what you did and thought."

每天写日记,记录当天的市场情况和你的想法。

The point of the exercise is twofold: to learn from your past mistakes and to force yourself to collect your thoughts.

它的目的有两个:从自己过去的错误汲取经验,以及强迫自己思考。

Jeffrey Saut, market strategist for Raymond James, says his own spiral notebooks date back to 1962. "Yep, I do refer back to them," he insists.

有一个投资经理的日记,可以回溯到1962年。

MSN Money columnist Jon Markman, who recently launched his own hedge fund, says he writes notes on every trade he makes. And the lessons are sometimes right at the surface, easy to harvest.

"For instance," Markman told me in an e-mail exchange recently, "I made pretty good money on AMR Corp. (AMR, news, msgs) calls. When the stock (of the American Airlines parent) was at around $2, I bought calls, and I sold it when it got to $3.75 or so ... was pretty happy with my gain.

"But then the news played out as I expected (flight attendants signed on to pact, company avoided bankruptcy) . . . and I didn't buy it again, or buy more. I sold. I limited my gains even though the news trend/stock trend was with me. I flinched. I took profits when I should have been piling on.

"That is something to learn about yourself."

Most investors don't, and shouldn't, trade every day, as Dohmen and Markman do. But that $1 spiral notebook is no less valuable to the less-active investor. The mood of the market, and our perspective on it, is constantly evolving -- just like our views.

By recording those views now, you can judge them later, gaining important new insights.

记录自己的想法,日后你就可以判断自己当时是否正确,并从来发现重要的启示。

Keep score

做好投资业绩的记录

Clearly, it's important to know how you're performing as an investor. It sounds simple. But it isn't.

记录自己的投资业绩很重要,但是里面还有一些小技巧。

Here are four key steps you have to take.

Step 1: Pick the right time frame. The pros tend to examine their holdings daily, or at least as often as weekly. Most of us don't need to peek so often. In fact, many investment advisers insist it's a grave mistake to evaluate your investments more than once a month.

第一步:选择正确的时间段。

"Daily? That's about the worst habit you could have," says Ed Osborn, principal in the San Francisco investment firm of Bingham, Osborn & Scarborough. "Quarterly would be good. Yearly would be fine, probably."

不要每天评估自己的收益,这样你会被噪音压倒。最多,每个月评估一次收益。

If you watch those numbers tick every day, you'll be overwhelmed by the noise. Pretty soon, you'll be taking action based on that noise. And the result is likely to be as messy as the noise itself.

Step 2: Be brutally honest. Take stock of all your accounts together, and evaluate them as a whole. Osborn finds that many of his clients tend to examine only their stock holdings or only their retirement accounts. It's important to put all your investments in one big basket and examine their performance as a whole. And if you're taking money out of your investments for spending, make all your withdrawals from a single account; otherwise, it's too hard to track performance.

第二步:保持绝对的诚实。

Meantime, remember that the name of the game is appreciation. It's not good enough to see that five of your seven stock or mutual-fund holdings gained this quarter. If the other two performed poorly enough, you may have lost money overall.

Step 3: Pick the right yardstick. How do you decide whether you're winning or losing? Warren Buffett's two rules of investment come to mind: Rule No. 1: Don't lose money. Rule No. 2: Don't forget Rule No. 1. But it's not that simple, of course. You need to pick an appropriate yardstick to measure against. Some advisers suggest aiming for a particular percentage gain -- say, 6% a year for your portfolio overall.

第三步:选择正确的评价标准。

巴菲特的标准:第一条是不亏钱,第二条是不要忘记第一条。

That's fine, but you have to realize that in certain market years, even if your investments are truly diversified, your portfolio won't gain that much. In fact, it may take you a decade or longer to know if you're really meeting your long-term performance goals. Osborn suggests measuring your portfolio performance primarily against risk metrics. "Don't let it move up or down more than 5% in any quarter," he says. By limiting the risk, you can come closer to guaranteeing a certain standard of historical performance, he argues.

有些人从收益率进行考察。但是,比较好的方法应该是考察风险,如果在每一个季度,波动率的绝对值都不超过5%,那么你的收益率就不会偏离历史平均水平的太远(一个标准差)。

Step 4: Start keeping score. With the right time frame, a full data set and the right yardstick in place, you can begin keeping score. There are countless ways to do it. For many, that spiral notebook may work fine.

第四步:开始记录投资收益。

But for a more sophisticated view, use software such as Microsoft's Money or Intuit's Quicken to help you slice and dice the data. (Editor's note: Microsoft is the parent of MSN Money.) This Web site's Portfolio Manager is another good tool. The key is to pick a system and stick with it -- and sooner rather than later.

你可以考虑使用专业软件,但是写在笔记本上也可以。

Read extensively but selectively

有选择性的广泛阅读

The world is filled with two types of readers -- the voracious and the selective. Most of us need to split the difference.

Mark Greenberg, manager of the Invesco Leisure fund (FLISX), is voracious. He wakes every morning in Denver at about 5 a.m. to read the two local papers and the New York Times. He skims the Wall Street Journal and the Financial Times at his office (finishing them, cover-to-cover, at night). He reads trade magazines in bed at night and hauls up to 20 pounds of reading material on every plane flight. "I'm omnivorous," he says. "I think everything's a learning opportunity."

一位投资经理:"我觉得每一件东西,都是一个学习的机会。"

Let's face it. Most of us can't -- or won't -- go at that pace, and for good reason. Information overload can mislead us into believing we know more than we do. As Osborn, the financial adviser, says, "No matter how much you read, you'll never catch up to what the market knows."

That said, every investor needs a reading routine. Like the scorekeeping routine above, it needs to be orderly, rational and consistent.

阅读需要计划性、理性和一贯性。

Four suggestions for setting that routine:

First and foremost, set aside a consistent amount of time each day for reading, and make a conscious decision about what's most important for you to read. It's all too easy to read whatever is in front of us, much of which is useless.

A. 每天留出固定的时间阅读,先读最重要的内容。

Read enough to know where the market is going in general. "Most importantly," says Saut, the investment strategist for Raymond James, "you need to have framed the primary trend of the market." At the very least, you'll need to know how the market is performing in order to measure your own portfolio's performance.

B. 阅读足够多的材料,了解大势的变化。

Read about your own investments. A mutual fund you own changes managers, or a stock you own is acquired. We need to know the big changes to manage our investments smartly.

C. 阅读与你自己投资相关的内容。

Don't waste time on the small stuff. A big up day or down day on Wall Street shouldn't distract you. One new economic data point, no matter how much it affects stock or bond values the day it's released, shouldn't be allowed to force your hand. It's better off ignored.

D. 不要是不重要的内容上浪费时间。

Take stock once a year

一年换一次股

Once every year, set aside a significant amount of time to evaluate your investment strategies. This isn't about keeping score. It's about examining the big picture.

每一年,你都应该对大势做一个判断。

Brett Steenbarger, a psychologist and day trader who studies the effects of emotion on the stock market, uses tax time for his big, yearly investment review.

"I do my own income taxes," he told me recently. "I have hundreds of trades per year, and I don't use any software to do my taxes. I go over every single trade over the year, to analyze what I did right and wrong, to try to look for the big themes."

Be forewarned: This approach can be really humbling.

Two years ago, Steenbarger found that while most of his trades had been profitable, a "relative handful" was very costly, dragging down the overall portfolio. So he adjusted, putting in place some personal rules for setting stops that would limit the losses he could take in any single investment.

So when is the best time for this annual habit? Tax time, New Year's and early fall/late summer tend to work best for most.

But as with any of these four key habits, as Osborn says, "The best time to do it is whatever time you're actually going to do it."

(完)

我要发表看法

«-必填

«-必填,不公开

«-我信任你,不会填写广告链接